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Monday Edition: December 23, 2024

John Williams: We're In a Dangerous Circumstance--Risk of Hyperinflation Ahead

So it’s still a dangerous time. There is also the risk of a hyperinflationary economic collapse. That would be the worst of all worlds. Gold would preserve your purchasing power during a runaway inflation. That's been seen time and again throughout history.

USD, Rates, & Gold: Synergistic Waves

Elliot wave counts, gold target: $3,101.20 Active Positions: Long gold, with puts as our stops!Active Positions: Long gold, with puts as our stops!        

Last Week’s Plunge Was Worse than It Seemed

And if you’re superstitious and believe in curses, there is this headline from the latest edition of Barron’s: “Stocks Could Gain Another 20% in 2025. Embrace the Bubble”. Contrary indicators don’t get better than that.

“I Think It’s Pretty Clear We’ve Avoided a Recession”

Two indicators I consider primary to macro boom/bust signaling are forecasting an oncoming bust and market liquidity contraction, respectively. These indicators are not necessarily good timers, but they are conditions that will likely be in effect when the next economic bust and market liquidity problems manifest.

Gold SWOT: BMO: Conditions Appear Favorable for a Broader Gold Equity Rally in 2025

With spot gold hovering near record highs around $2,700 per ounce, conditions appear favorable for a broader gold equity rally in 2025. BMO expects investors to remain selective in the first half of the year, waiting for more clarity on cost management and capital allocation strategies.

Still No New Highs For Gold Since 1980

When comparing intraday highs, the latest gold price peak of $2785 is far cheaper than its 1980 ($3407) inflation-adjusted price.

Gold Seems to Be Without Trend

Gold on the weekly chart is fighting a big battle at the 18 week moving average, this is going on for almost 2-months now. Bulls believe Trump's tariffs will bring in more inflation while bears believe we already had our rally.

Sunday Edition: December 22, 2024

Global Trade Routes are Shifting Part I

Who trades what along which routes has been an important part of economic history. For eons, trade routes were part of globalization which, with its free movement of goods, money and information, most economists still see as the key to growth and prosperity.

Sentiment Speaks: Why Do We Rely On News

So, as I have noted, the more and more we begin to study the psychological aspects of our financial markets, the more we understand why we see movements such as this past week.

Gold Seeks Charisma ‘Round Inflation’s Enigma

Gold whilst seeking some charisma at least technically still looks to falter a bit; but fundamentally as the late great Richard Russell would remind us, there’s never a bad time to buy it.

Quantum Supremacy

Quantum computing is going to change pharmaceuticals, healthcare and longevity, material science with the discovery and introduction of brand-new classes of materials. The applications are almost limitless. It will be driving the economy in the 2030s in ways that we can’t now imagine.

Friday Edition: December 20, 2024

Fed Tests Gold Upleg

Gold is passing this latest hawkish-Fed-surprise test with flying colors. Gold remained well above mid-November’s pullback low, and its monster upleg is alive and well.

Inflation Bites: The $38 Million Man

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell acknowledged the pain of price inflation during his press conference at the close of the December FOMC meeting.

What Will Happen To Gold When The US Replaces It With Bitcoin?

Gold prices have had one of the most bullish years on record, beginning the year at just over $2,000 breaking several all-time highs, and sitting above $2,600 at the time of writing.

The Bad "B" Movie "Weekend at Biden's" Dives Just Like Biden's Economy

The Biden government’s GDP just got improved, being revised upward, again, to 3.1% from 2.8%; but one should ask why we would believe that.

Fed Keeps the Party Going With Rate Cut But Threatens to Cool the Shindig Down

The rhetoric of the FOMC meeting was hawkish, as officials expressed concern that price inflation remains sticky well above the mythical 2% target.

Us Dollar Keeps Gaining

You've got a pattern of a higher high and lower low. The market is fighting a dollar that's on a run to the upside and interest rates that are higher for longer and higher.

Thursday Edition: December 19, 2024

Fed Fumbles, Dow Tumbles, Bonds Go for Broke

Powell admitted inflation is higher again and that the Federal Open Market Committee expects it to be slightly higher in 2025.

Scarcity, Gold, and Inflation: Lessons for Navigating a Volatile Economy

The Money Metals Midweek Memo marks its 50th episode with Mike Maharrey offering insights on economic principles, investment trends, and the current gold market.

Syria’s Collapse and Global Geopolitical Shifts

After nearly 14 years of brutal conflict, various jihadist groups backed by Turkey, the US, and Israel finally toppled the Assad government in Syria.

Soaring US Dollars And Soaring Interest Rates

The market is just in a straight line coming from $2761 and it's down to $2596. I mean, it's been relentless to the downside.

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