Short-Term S&P500 Chart:
Analysis:
We should now be moving lower in wave A, although at the moment we do not know what corrective pattern wave A will take. For the time being we will assume that wave A will become a simple 3 wave zigzag pattern, which we will call abc.
We are also falling sharply in small wave $iii$, which has an initial projected endpoint of:
$iii$ = 1.618$i$ = 5326.15.
We expect this drop to continue within wave $iii$, and with this market being so overbought and overvalued that we would not be surprised to see wave $ii$ extend to the next projected endpoint, which is:
$iii$ = 2.618$i$ = 5165.96!
Trading Recommendation: Awaiting a set-up to go short, with put options as our stop.
Active Positions: Flat!
Interest Rates:
Monthly Rates Chart:
Analysis:
The projected decline the US stk mkt is in sync with our projected decline in rates.
Within a multi-year wave C, we are rallying in wave i, which is complete at the 5.201% high. We are now falling in wave ii, which should retrace between 50 to 61.8% of the entire wave i. We have provided those retracement levels in our Morning Post.
For the time being we will assume that wave ii, is going to become a simple 3 wave corrective pattern and if this assumption is correct then we completed wave -i- of (a) at the 3.785% low.
We are working on the assumption that all of wave -ii- is now complete at the 4.737% high and if that is the case we are now falling in wave -iii-, which has an initial projected endpoint of:
-iii- = 1.618-i- = 2.776%.
Trading Recommendation: Go short, risking to 5.050%.
Active Positions: Short risking to 5.050%!
CDNX:
Daily CDNX Chart:
Analysis:
We are now rallying in wave -iii-, which has an initial projected endpoint of:
-iii- = 1.618-i- = 1773.38.
Within wave -iii-, which now looks to include a nested wave structure as shown on our Daily CNDX Chart, we are rallying in wave (i) and within wave (i), wave $i$ ended at 548.33 and wave $ii$ at 517.17.
We are rallying in wave $iii$ which has an updated projected endpoint of:
$iii$ = 6.25$i$ = 777.67.
We expect higher prices in the weeks ahead as this wave structure plays out!
Trading Recommendation: Go Long the GDXJ as a long-term hold.
Active Positions: Heavily long the GDXJ and key juniors on the CDNX, as a long-term hold!
Risk: CAPTAINEWAVE.COM IS AN IMPERSONAL ADVISORY SERVICE. AND THEREFORE, NO CONSIDERATION CAN OR IS MADE TOWARD YOUR FINANCIAL CIRCUMSTANCES. ALL MATERIAL PRESENTED WITHIN CAPTAINEWAVE.COM IS NOT TO BE REGARDED AS INVESTMENT ADVICE, BUT FOR GENERAL INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY. TRADING STOCKS DOES INVOLVE RISK, SO CAUTION MUST ALWAYS BE UTILIZED. WE CANNOT GUARANTEE PROFITS OR FREEDOM FROM LOSS. YOU ASSUME THE ENTIRE COST AND RISK OF ANY TRADING YOU CHOOSE TO UNDERTAKE. YOU ALSO AGREE TO BEAR COMPLETE RESPONSIBILITY FOR YOUR INVESTMENT RESEARCH AND DECISIONS AND ACKNOWLEDGE THAT CAPTAINEWAVE.COM HAS NOT AND WILL NOT MAKE ANY SPECIFIC RECOMMENDATIONS OR GIVE ADVICE TO YOU OR ANY OF ITS CLIENTS UPON WHICH THEY SHOULD RELY. CAPTAINEWAVE.COM SUGGESTS THAT THE CLIENT/MEMBER TEST ALL INFORMATION AND TRADING METHODOLOGIES PROVIDED AT OUR SITE THROUGH PAPER TRADING OR SOME OTHER FORM OF TESTING. CAPTAINEWAVE.COM, ITS OWNERS, OR ITS REPRESENTATIVES ARE NOT REGISTERED AS SECURITIES BROKER-DEALERS OR INVESTMENT ADVISORS EITHER WITH THE U.S. SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION OR WITH ANY STATE SECURITIES REGULATORY AUTHORITY. WE RECOMMEND CONSULTING WITH A REGISTERED INVESTMENT ADVISOR, BROKER-DEALER, AND/OR FINANCIAL ADVISOR. IF YOU CHOOSE TO INVEST WITH OR WITHOUT SEEKING ADVICE FROM SUCH AN ADVISOR OR ENTITY, THEN ANY CONSEQUENCES RESULTING FROM YOUR INVESTMENTS ARE YOUR SOLE RESPONSIBILITY.
ALL INFORMATION POSTED IS BELIEVED TO COME FROM RELIABLE SOURCES. CAPTAINEWAVE.COM DOES NOT WARRANT THE ACCURACY, CORRECTNESS, OR COMPLETENESS OF INFORMATION AVAILABLE FROM ITS SERVICE AND THEREFORE WILL NOT BE LIABLE FOR ANY LOSS INCURRED. DUE TO THE ELECTRONIC NATURE OF THE INTERNET, THE CAPTAINEWAVE.COM WEBSITE, ITS E-MAIL & DISTRIBUTION SERVICES AND ANY OTHER SUCH "ALERTS" COULD FAIL AT ANY GIVEN TIME. CAPTAINEWAVE.COM WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR UNAVAILABILITY OF USE OF ITS WEBSITE, NOR UNDELIVERED E-MAILS, OR "ALERTS" DUE TO INTERNET BANDWIDTH PROBLEMS, EQUIPMENT FAILURE, OR ACTS OF GOD. CAPTAINEWAVE.COM DOES NOT WARRANT THAT THE TRANSMISSION OF E-MAILS, OR ANY "ALERT" WILL BE UNINTERRUPTED OR ERROR-FREE. CAPTAINEWAVE.COM WILL NOT BE LIABLE FOR THE ACTS OR OMISSIONS OF ANY THIRD PARTY WITH REGARDS TO CAPTAINEWAVE.COM DELAY OR NON-DELIVERY OF THE CAPTAINEWAVE.COM NIGHTLY EMAILS OR "ALERTS". FURTHER, WE DO NOT RECEIVE ANY FORM OF PAYMENT OR OTHER COMPENSATION FOR PUBLISHING INFORMATION, NEWS, RESEARCH OR ANY OTHER MATERIAL CONCERNING ANY SECURITIES ON OUR SITE OR PUBLISH ANY INFORMATION ON OUR SITE THAT IS INTENDED TO AFFECT OR INFLUENCE THE VALUE OF SECURITIES.
THERE IS NO GUARANTEE PAST PERFORMANCE WILL BE INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. NO ASSURANCE CAN BE GIVEN THAT THE RECOMMENDATIONS OF CAPTAINEWAVE.COM WILL BE PROFITABLE OR WILL NOT BE SUBJECT TO LOSSES. ALL CLIENTS SHOULD UNDERSTAND THAT THE RESULTS OF A PARTICULAR PERIOD WILL NOT NECESSARILY BE INDICATIVE OF RESULTS IN FUTURE PERIODS. THE RESULTS LISTED AT THIS WEBSITE ARE BASED ON HYPOTHETICAL TRADES. PLAINLY SPEAKING, THESE TRADES WERE NOT ACTUALLY EXECUTED. HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN INHERENT LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED TRADES DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT ACTUALLY BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE OVER OR UNDER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. YOU MAY HAVE DONE BETTER OR WORSE THAN THE RESULTS PORTRAYED. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. NO INDEPENDENT PARTY HAS AUDITED THE HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE CONTAINED AT THIS WEBSITE, NOR HAS ANY INDEPENDENT PARTY UNDERTAKEN TO CONFIRM THAT THEY REFLECT THE TRADING METHOD UNDER THE ASSUMPTIONS OR CONDITIONS SPECIFIED HEREAFTER. WHILE THE RESULTS PRESENTED AT THIS WEBSITE ARE BASED UPON CERTAIN ASSUMPTIONS BELIEVED TO REFLECT ACTUAL TRADING CONDITIONS, THESE ASSUMPTIONS MAY NOT INCLUDE ALL VARIABLES THAT WILL AFFECT, OR HAVE IN THE PAST AFFECTED, THE EXECUTION OF TRADES INDICATED BY CAPTAINEWAVE.COM. THE HYPOTHETICAL RESULTS ON THIS WEBSITE ARE BASED ON THE ASSUMPTION THAT THE CLIENT BUY AND SELLS THE POSITIONS AT THE OPEN PRICE OF THE STOCK. THE SIMULATION ASSUMES PURCHASE AND SALE PRICES BELIEVED TO BE ATTAINABLE. IN ACTUAL TRADING, PRICES RECEIVED MAY OR MAY NOT BE THE SAME AS THE ASSUMED ORDER PRICES.
About the author
